5/26/2026 Market Commentary

Live Cattle: Live Cattle finished the day mixed with the nearby contracts finishing the day lower and the deferred contracts finishing slightly higher. The market shrugged off the slightly negative Cattle on Feed Report and pushed higher minutes after the open but could not hold all of those gains throughout the day. Given the current market situation, the June contract unexpectedly felt the most pressure today. The best way to describe it is that it felt like someone was long the June contract and needed to reduce their size of position. Friday’s Cattle on Feed Report showed the largest on feed numbers in the last 18 months along with the largest April placements number in the last three reports. A lot of this negative data was already in the market as the estimates heading into the report were expecting both more cattle on feed and large placements. Boxed beef was higher this morning on very small volume. Choice was up $1.98 to $392.25 and select was $4.22 higher at $389.22. The cash averages for negotiated trade last week were lower than the previous week in all regions, but the northern states saw more of a decline than the southern states. The futures market will continue to watch any developments at the Cargill plant in Ft. Morgan, Colorado this week as well as keeping an eye on any news from the White House surrounding beef.

Feeder Cattle: Feeder Cattle futures opened the day lower and held those lows into the final hour of trade before making a push lower late in the day. The futures finished the day mixed as volatility remains high and price swings are extreme. The August contract holds the bulk of the open interest within the complex and was the only contract to finish the day lower. The CME Feeder Cattle index was quoted $1.36 higher today at $371.49 through Monday’s sales. Friday’s Cattle on Feed Report showed an increase in placements compared to a year ago. Placements in the month of April were 89,000 head larger compared to a year ago. Kansas and Texas accounted for 45,000 head of this increase as the southern feeding region moves forward with the Mexican border closed.

Lean Hogs: Lean Hog futures posted their daily highs in the opening minutes this morning before eventually falling lower and closing the day negative for the eighth consecutive day. The deferred contracts have lost over $6.000/cwt over the course of lower closes and have taken out many major support areas in the process. All of the cash fundamental prices have worked lower this past week with the exception of the Lean Hog index which has gained just slightly. The national cash average is down $1.65 compared to a week ago and the pork cutout has lost $2.10. The pork cutout remains comfortable between the $95 level and the $100 mark. Friday’s Cold Storage Report showed total pork up 8.7% compared to a month ago but 4.5% less than last year. The hams, bellies, and loins were significantly higher than a month ago while the hams and picnics were the only categories that showed higher inventories compared to last year.

Corn: The nearby Corn futures spent the entire day lower and have returned to technical support areas. The crude oil market was lower the entire day as well, making it hard for the grain complex as a whole to find much support. Friday’s CFTC Report showed the managed money as small sellers of the Corn complex, selling 6,129 contracts, reducing their net long position to 293,354 contracts. This is still a relatively large position in recent history and is just 50,000 contracts from the high a few weeks ago. Export inspections for the week were again very good and is keeping the U.S. ahead of the pace needed to meet the current USDA export goal. Mexico and Japan led the list of destinations with South Korea also being a significant buyer. Traders will continue to watch weather as the next week to ten days shows dryness across the majority of the Corn Belt with above average temperatures.

Closing Prices

Market Month Last Change
Corn July 457.50 5.75
CHI Wheat July 635.50 10.75
KC Wheat July 676.25 5.75
Soybeans July 1186.00 10.50
Soy Oil July 74.36 0.38
Soy Meal August 312.20 3.60
Live Cattle June 248.225 1.075
Feeder Cattle August 349.450 0.400
Lean Hogs June 96.125 0.375
Crude Oil July 93.88 2.72
Ch Cutout 392.25 1.98
Sel Cutout 389.22 4.22
Feeder Index 371.49 1.36
Pork Cutout 96.26 0.62
Dollar Index 99.178 0.0610
DOW 50,420 158
National Corn Basis -38.96 0.16
National Bean Basis -63.95 0.33

Dates to Remember

June 5- June Live Cattle Option Expiration

June 11- WASDE Report

June 12- June Lean Hog Expiration

Hog Fundamentals

Current One Week Ago Change One Year Ago Change
Lead Month Future 96.125 97.925 1.800 99.100 2.975
National Cash 93.23 94.88 1.65 94.86 1.63
Index 90.88 90.50 0.38 93.52 2.64
Cutout 96.26 98.36 2.10 103.73 7.47
IA/SMN Cash 93.81 95.44 1.63 96.45 2.64
IA/SMN Weights 291.30 290.80 0.50 287.90 3.40
Slaughter 2,321,000 2,359,000 38,000 2,356,490 35,490

Cattle Fundamentals

Current One Week Ago Change One Year Ago Change
North Cash 260.98 235.31
South Cash 269.68 222.32
North Steer Basis 10.00 15.80
Choice Boxes 392.25 395.75 3.50 361.85 30.40
Select Boxes 389.22 393.88 4.66 350.83 38.39
Spread 3.03 1.87 1.21 11.02 7.99
Carcass Weights 904 899 5 873 31
Slaughter 528,000 535,000 7,000 576,278 48,278
FC Index 371.49 369.46 2.03 296.09 75.40

Cash Cattle Markets

Region This Week Last Week Last Year
TX/OK/NM $260.00 $222.00
KS $259.68 $222.32
NE $260.98 $235.31
IA/MN $260.79 $233.56

CFTC Disaggregated COT Report

As of: 5/19/2026
Commodity Current Managed Money Change Current Producer/Commercial Change Total OI Total OI Change
Live Cattle 130,113 773 -174,982 4,112 354,939 3,356
Feeder Cattle 16,380 1,194 -10,460 2,856 60,693 2,899
Lean Hogs 33,713 7,147 -97,735 2,526 326,769 443
Corn 293,354 6,129 -604,557 47,614 1,885,546 14,802
Soybeans 207,804 7,011 -291,380 687 1,037,289 10,125

Live Cattle Markets

August Live Cattle finished the day slightly lower. Support is at 236.825 followed by the 100-day MA of 236.000. Resistance is at 239.900 and then the 20-day MA of 245.575.

Feeder Cattle Markets

August Feeder Cattle finished lower for the third day in a row. Support is at the 200-day MA of 345.550 and then 344.275. Resistance is at 354.650 followed by 356.525.

Lean Hogs Markets

July Lean Hogs set posted their high in the opening minutes today. Support is at 99.350 and then 98.925. Resistance is at the 20-day MA of 103.075 followed by 106.300.

Corn Markets

July Corn traded lower the entire day. Support is at the 200-day MA of 456 1/4 and then 455. Resistance is at 463 1/4 followed by 469 1/4.

This material should be construed as the solicitation of an account, order, and/or services provided by Producers Commodities LLC, NFA ID: 0355787 and represents the opinions and viewpoints of the author. It does not constitute an individualized recommendation or take into account the particular trading objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual customers.  Additionally, this material should not be construed as research material. The trading of derivatives such as futures and futures options may not be suitable for all investors. Derivatives trading involves substantial risk of loss, and you should fully understand the risks prior to trading. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Producers Commodities LLC is not responsible for any redistribution of this material by third parties, or any trading decisions taken by persons not intended to view this material. Information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy, timeliness, and/or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Contact designated personnel from Producers Commodities LLC for specific trading advice to meet your trading preferences or goals.

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